The voter history file for the 2017 municipal election was made available yesterday, and it provides evidence of a dramatic shift toward younger voters in the recent election. This provides at least some partial explanation for the election results. Here are some histograms for the municipal election years (2013, 2015, 2017) followed by the federal/state election years (2012, 2014, 2016).
Municipal Elections: 2013 – 2017
(note the dramatic peak in the 27-29 age range)
Federal/State Elections: 2012 – 2016
Hi Robert! Thanks for putting this together. Do you have the source files with the exact numbers for 2015 and 2017 somewhere? Happy Thanksgiving!
Comment by Will MacArthur — November 23, 2017 @ 9:29 pm
Well, of course I have the source files! I didn’t just draw these with a magic marker! I’ll post that stuff and the ward-precinct changes tomorrow.
Comment by Robert Winters — November 24, 2017 @ 12:57 am
Thank you!
Comment by Will MacArthur — December 5, 2017 @ 4:39 pm